A public opinion survey released Tuesday suggests that the proposed constitutional amendment to restore abortion rights to the point of viability is winning, as is the measure that would legalize recreational cannabis for adults.
The poll of 774 Floridians who said that they were either definitely or probably voting in the coming election was conducted by the University of North Florida’s Public Opinion Research Lab between July 24 and July 27.
Amendment 3 received 64% support, with 31% opposing and 5% undecided or refusing to answer the question. All constitutional amendments in Florida require 60% to become law. As the Phoenix has previously reported, of the 15 states that brought the issue of legalizing recreational cannabis to the voters, only three states have passed the measure by more than 60% — New Jersey, Maryland, and Arizona.
Until recently, the organization supporting Amendment 3, Smart & Safe Florida, had no opposition as it raised more than $60 million in support of the measure. Earlier this month, the group Vote No on 3 was formed to oppose the amendment. The Florida Police Chiefs Association on Tuesday also announced their opposition.
“It’s not clear yet how much money will be injected into the campaign against this amendment,” said Michael Binder, the poll’s faculty director and a political science professor, in a press release. “If the opposing organizations ramp up their campaigns, we may see this number come down, depending on how much cash is spent in opposition.
Amendment 4 gets even higher support, with 69% saying yes and just 23% opposing the proposal. Eight percent said they didn’t know or refused to answer.
“Again, we have yet to see campaigns on either side of this really get moving,” Binder said. “Factor in the highly contested and contentious financial impact statement recently added to the ballot summary, and I would expect to see support for this amendment drop before November.
The Florida Supreme Court has scheduled expedited hearings into amendment sponsor Floridians Protecting Freedom’s challenge to that financial impact statement.
A new political committee opposing Amendment 4 called Life First was announced on Tuesday. That is at least the third PAC formed to bring down Amendment 4, joining Do No Harm Florida and Florida Voters Against Extremism.
Also, Gov. Ron DeSantis’ new PAC, the Florida Freedom Fund, is raising money to oppose both Amendment 3 and Amendment 4.
The survey is the first in Florida to compare Donald Trump to Kamala Harris, the new presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, but the results aren’t much different than when Joe Biden was running. The poll shows Trump up by 7 points, 49%-42%. Another 4% preferred a third candidate and 6% were undecided.
The U.S. Senate race between Republican Rick Scott and his likely Democratic opponent, former congresswoman Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, shows a closer race. Scott leads 47%-43%, with 1% supporting another candidate and 10% undecided.
Florida Phoenix is part of States Newsroom, a nonprofit news network supported by grants and a coalition of donors as a 501c(3) public charity. Florida Phoenix maintains editorial independence. Contact Editor Michael Moline for questions: [email protected]. Follow Florida Phoenix on Facebook and X.
The poll of 774 Floridians who said that they were either definitely or probably voting in the coming election was conducted by the University of North Florida’s Public Opinion Research Lab between July 24 and July 27.
Amendment 3 received 64% support, with 31% opposing and 5% undecided or refusing to answer the question. All constitutional amendments in Florida require 60% to become law. As the Phoenix has previously reported, of the 15 states that brought the issue of legalizing recreational cannabis to the voters, only three states have passed the measure by more than 60% — New Jersey, Maryland, and Arizona.
Until recently, the organization supporting Amendment 3, Smart & Safe Florida, had no opposition as it raised more than $60 million in support of the measure. Earlier this month, the group Vote No on 3 was formed to oppose the amendment. The Florida Police Chiefs Association on Tuesday also announced their opposition.
“It’s not clear yet how much money will be injected into the campaign against this amendment,” said Michael Binder, the poll’s faculty director and a political science professor, in a press release. “If the opposing organizations ramp up their campaigns, we may see this number come down, depending on how much cash is spent in opposition.
Amendment 4 gets even higher support, with 69% saying yes and just 23% opposing the proposal. Eight percent said they didn’t know or refused to answer.
“Again, we have yet to see campaigns on either side of this really get moving,” Binder said. “Factor in the highly contested and contentious financial impact statement recently added to the ballot summary, and I would expect to see support for this amendment drop before November.
The Florida Supreme Court has scheduled expedited hearings into amendment sponsor Floridians Protecting Freedom’s challenge to that financial impact statement.
A new political committee opposing Amendment 4 called Life First was announced on Tuesday. That is at least the third PAC formed to bring down Amendment 4, joining Do No Harm Florida and Florida Voters Against Extremism.
Also, Gov. Ron DeSantis’ new PAC, the Florida Freedom Fund, is raising money to oppose both Amendment 3 and Amendment 4.
The survey is the first in Florida to compare Donald Trump to Kamala Harris, the new presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, but the results aren’t much different than when Joe Biden was running. The poll shows Trump up by 7 points, 49%-42%. Another 4% preferred a third candidate and 6% were undecided.
The U.S. Senate race between Republican Rick Scott and his likely Democratic opponent, former congresswoman Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, shows a closer race. Scott leads 47%-43%, with 1% supporting another candidate and 10% undecided.
Florida Phoenix is part of States Newsroom, a nonprofit news network supported by grants and a coalition of donors as a 501c(3) public charity. Florida Phoenix maintains editorial independence. Contact Editor Michael Moline for questions: [email protected]. Follow Florida Phoenix on Facebook and X.
